Dynamic portfolio formulation using bitcoin and LQ45 stocks

Authors

  • Isna Anggita Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Kristen Satya Wacana
  • Robiyanto Robiyanto Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Kristen Satya Wacana http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3565-1594

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.24914/jeb.v25i1.4790

Keywords:

Portfolio, Hedge, Bitcoin, LQ45 Stocks, DCC-GARCH

Abstract

This research aims to evaluate whether dynamic portfolios consisting of bitcoin and LQ45 stocks outperform portfolios composed solely of LQ45 stocks, especially during the Covid-19 pandemic. Accordingly, we use the time-series data of eight stocks and bitcoin from January 1, 2020, to December 31, 2020. We then run the DCC-GARCH method to analyze better the dynamic correlation between assets and the abnormalities of stock return distributions. The findings demonstrate that bitcoin is negatively correlated with LQ45 stocks, and hence, it can be used to hedge against stock assets. Further, we measure the portfolio performance of bitcoin-hedged and unhedged stock portfolios using the Jensen Index, Treynor Index, Sharpe Index, Sortino Ratio, and Omega Ratio. These measures consistently indicate that bitcoin-hedged stocks outperform unhedged stocks. In sum, our study concludes that incorporating bitcoin into portfolio formation improves portfolio performance.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Ahnhem, K., & Lindberg, L. (2017). Should Bitcoin Be Considered a Complementary Asset in a Long-Term Investment Portfolio? LUP Student Papers, 1–50. Retrieved from https://lup.lub.lu.se/student-papers/search/publication/8912289

Bhosale, J., & Mavale, S. (2018). Volatility of Select Crypto-Currencies : A comparison of Bitcoin, Ethereum and Litecoin. Annual Research Journal of SCMS, 6, 132–141. Retrieved from https://docplayer.net/83957664-Annual-research-journal-of-scms-pune-volume-6-march-issn-no.html

Budiarti, E., Ratnaningsih, & Penangsang, P. (2017). Analisis Return Saham Blue Chips dan Non Blue Chips Terhadap Saham yang Tergabung Dalam Indeks LQ45 Di Bursa Efek Indonesia Tahun 2015. Jurnal Ekonomi Manajemen, 2, 315–330. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.30996/jem17.v2i1.1194

Caporale, G. M., Plastun, A., & Oliinyk, V. (2019). Bitcoin Fluctuations and The Frequency of Price Overreactions. Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, 33(2), 109–131. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11408-019-00332-5

Chan, W. H., Le, M., & Wu, Y. W. (2019). Holding Bitcoin Longer : The Dynamic Hedging Abilities of Bitcoin. The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 71, 107–113. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.qref.2018.07.004

Chandra, L., & Hapsari, Y. D. (2014). Analisis Pembentukan Portofolio Optimal Dengan Menggunakan Model Markowitz Untuk Saham LQ45 Periode 2008-2012. Jurnal Manajemen, 11(1), 41–56. Retrieved from http://ojs.atmajaya.ac.id/index.php/JM/article/view/220

Dwita Mariana, C., Ekaputra, I. A., & Husodo, Z. A. (2021). Are Bitcoin and Ethereum Safe-Havens For Stocks During The COVID-19 Pandemic? Finance Research Letters, 38, 101798. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2020.101798

Dyhrberg, A. H. (2016). Bitcoin, Gold and The Dollar – A GARCH Volatility Analysis. Finance Research Letters, 16, 85–92. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2015.10.008

Fang, L., Bouri, E., Gupta, R., & Roubaud, D. (2019). Does Global Economic Uncertainty Matter For The Volatility and Hedging Effectiveness of Bitcoin? International Review of Financial Analysis, 61, 29–36. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2018.12.010

Jin, J., Yu, J., Hu, Y., & Shang, Y. (2019). Which One is More Informative in Determining Price Movements of Hedging Assets? Evidence From Bitcoin, Gold and Crude Oil Markets. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and Its Applications, 527, 1–13. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2019.121121

Markowitz, H. (1952). Portofolio Selection. The Journal of Finance, 7(1), 77–91. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1952.tb01525.x

Pal, D., & Mitra, S. K. (2019). Hedging Bitcoin With Other Financial Assets. Finance Research Letters, 30(1), 30–36. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2019.03.034

Pamilangan, A., & Robiyanto, R. (2019). Perumusan Portofolio Dinamis Cryptocurrency Dengan Saham-saham LQ45. Jurnal Ilmu Sosial Dan Humaniora, 8(2), 283–292. https://doi.org/http://dx.doi.org/10.23887/jish-undiksha.v8i2.23065

Putra, M. P. S., Atahau, A. D. R., & Robiyanto, R. (2018). Cross Asset Class Portfolio Between Gold and Stocks in Indonesia. Economic Journal of Emerging Markets, 10(1), 69–81. Retrieved from https://ideas.repec.org/a/uii/journl/v10y2018i1p69-81.html

Robiyanto, R. (2018). DCC-GARCH Application in Formulating Dynamic Portfolio Between Stocks in The Indonesia Stock Exchange With Gold. Indonesian Capital Market Review, 10(1), 13–23. https://doi.org/10.21002/icmr.v10i1.10821

Robiyanto, R., Ernayani, & Ismail, R. S. (2019). Formulation of a Dynamic Portfolio With Stocks and Fixed - Income Instruments in The Indonesian Capital Market. Organizations and Markets in Emerging Economies, 10(1), 132–146. https://doi.org/10.15388/omee.2019.10.00007

Robiyanto, Wahyudi, S., & Pangestuti, I. R. D. (2019). Testing Commodities as Save Haven and Hedging Instrument on Asean’s Five Stock Markets. JEKT, 10(2), 231–238. https://doi.org/2303 - 0186

Saptomo, D., Kamil, I., Amrina, E., & Plamonia, M. (2017). Desain Portofolio Optimal Untuk Keputusan Investasi Pada Fase Krisis Keuangan. Jurnal Optimasi Sistem Industri, 16(1), 68–79. https://doi.org/10.25077/josi.v16.n1.p68-79.2017

Sebastião, H., & Godinho, P. (2020). Bitcoin Futures: An Effective Tool For Hedging Cryptocurrencies. Finance Research Letters, 33, 1–6. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2019.07.003

Setiawan, S. R. D. (2020). Tidak Cuma Emas, Harga Bitcoin Juga Melonjak di Tengah Pandemi. Kompas.Com. Retrieved from https://money.kompas.com/read/2020/07/28/110429126/tidak-cuma-emas-harga-bitcoin-juga-melonjak-di-tengah-pandemi?page=1

Susilawati, C. D. K. (2012). Analisis Perbandingan Pengaruh Likuiditas, Solvabilitas dan Profitabilitas Terhadap Harga Saham Pada Perusahaan LQ45. Jurnal Akuntansi, 4(2), 165–174. Retrieved from http://majour.maranatha.edu/

Wang, G., Tang, Y., Xie, C., & Chen, S. (2019). Is Bitcoin a Safe Haven or a Hedging Asset? Evidence From China. Journal of Management Science and Engineering, 4(3), 173–188. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmse.2019.09.001

Warsito, O. L. D., & Robiyanto, R. (2020). Analisis Volatilitas Cryptocurrency, Emas, Dollar dan Indeks Harga (IHSG). International Journal of Social Science and Business, 4(1), 40–46. https://doi.org/10.23887/ijssb.v4i1.23887

Wibowo, B. (2017). Uji Empirik Metode Pengukuran Hedging Ratio dan Efektivitas Hedging di Bursa Komoditas Berjangka Jakarta. Jurnal Manajemen Dan Agribisnis, 14(3), 284–294. https://doi.org/10.17358/jma.14.3.284

Yohandi, A., Trihastuti, N., & Hartono, D. (2017). Implikasi Yuridis Penggunaan Mata Uang Virtual Bitcoin Sebagai Alat Pembayaran Dalam Transaksi Komersial (Studi Komparasi Antara Indonesia-Singapura). Diponegoro Law Journal, 6(2), 1–18. Retrieved from https://ejournal3.undip.ac.id/index.php/dlr/article/view/17012

Downloads

Published

2022-04-06

How to Cite

Anggita, I., & Robiyanto, R. (2022). Dynamic portfolio formulation using bitcoin and LQ45 stocks. Jurnal Ekonomi Dan Bisnis, 25(1), 113–136. https://doi.org/10.24914/jeb.v25i1.4790

Issue

Section

Articles